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Speaking on the world economic outlook at the @Ambrosetti_ Forum in Villa d’Este
My new @ProSyn oped on activist treasury issuance (ATI)
Link to a podcast where @SteveMiran and myself discuss our new paper on Activist Treasury Issuance, ie how Treasury is actively “manipulating” the ratio of short vs long term debt issued to reduce long rates and ease financial conditions, a backdoor form of QE that undermines the
Annual wonky weekend in Montana with my great friends @ianbremmer and @elerianm
Nouriel Roubini is Professor Emeritus (2021-present), Professor of Economics (1995-2021), Stern School of Business, New York University. He is also CEO of Roubini Macro Associates, LLC, a global macroeconomic consultancy firm in New York, as well as Co-Founder of Rosa & Roubini Associates based out of London. At a 2006 address to the International Monetary Fund, Roubini warned of the impending recession due to the credit and housing market bubble. His predictions of these upside-down balance sheets became a reality in 2008, with the bubble bursting and reverberating around the world into a global financial crisis – a recession we’re only recently rebounding from after a decade climb. READ MORE
The US Treasury’s Backdoor Stimulus Is Hampering the Fed
The US Treasury’s debt-issuance polices have become a powerful form of policy easing. By shortening its issuance profile to reduce long-term interest rates, the Treasury has delivered economic stimulus equivalent to a one-point cut to the Fed’s policy rate, impeding...
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